Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +7 (61-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 40 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -1 | - |
| S. Milton * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Tolbert * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +0.6 |
| S. Brown * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Moore * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -24.6 |
| M. Kennedy | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -12.0 |
| J. Foster | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 38 | 4-14 | 0-7 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -3 | - |
| T. Caupain * | 36 | 4-19 | 0-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | +16.1 |
| O. Ellis * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +16.1 |
| F. Cobb * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +14.5 |
| C. DeBerry * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +14.4 |
| G. Clark | 35 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| K. Johnson | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +16.0 |
* = starter