Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Moore * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Sterling Brown * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Nic Moore * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Jonathan Wilfong * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shake Milton | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +9.0 |
| Jarrey Foster | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedric Lawson * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Ricky Tarrant * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 6-10 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | -5.1 |
| Avery Woodson * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Markel Crawford * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trahson Burrell | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Jeremiah Martin | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nick Marshall | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Sam Craft | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake McDowell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Craig Randall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +0.4 |
* = starter