Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Adonys Henriquez * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chance McSpadden | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Shaheed Davis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chad Brown | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Justin McBride | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Woodson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Dedric Lawson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Ricky Tarrant * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Craig Randall * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Trahson Burrell | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Jeremiah Martin | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Marshall | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jake McDowell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter