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2016-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.5% 24.5% - โœ“
Margin 89.6% 10.4% -11.8 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.1% 6.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.5% 26.5% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights -18 (51-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Farad Cobb * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 12 17 -
Troy Caupain * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 5 0 3 7 18 -
Gary Clark * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 1 4 1 11 28 -
Octavius Ellis * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 2 0 2 10 25 -
Jacob Evans * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
Kevin Johnson 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 13 19 -
Coreontae DeBerry 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
Justin Jenifer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Shaq Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Quadri Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daiquan Walker * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 2 3 5 15 -
Matt Williams * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 24 28 -
A.J. Davis * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 4 16 22 -
Tanksley Efianayi * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 1 1 -
Justin McBride * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 2 2 -
Tacko Fall 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 0 2 14 -
Shaheed Davis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
Chance McSpadden 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Staphon Blair 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 1 3 -
Chad Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter