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2016-02-07

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs South Florida Bulls Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 74.1% 25.9% -5.8 (28.2 off)

Actual: South Florida Bulls -34 (58-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Milton * 33 8-12 6-9 0-2 1 3 1 0 1 22 14 -
N. Moore * 30 6-12 5-10 0-0 3 8 2 0 1 17 17 -
J. Tolbert * 26 5-5 0-0 5-6 5 1 2 0 1 15 17 +10.5
B. Moore * 25 0-2 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 1 1 6 +13.6
S. Brown * 23 5-7 0-1 2-2 3 5 1 1 2 12 13 -1.6
M. Kennedy 30 5-9 0-0 0-0 9 6 1 1 1 10 17 +4.7
J. Foster 22 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 7 5 -
J. Wilfong 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Brudish 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Nelson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Sutton 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McMurray * 39 7-15 2-6 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 18 7 -6.1
R. Guerrero * 33 4-7 0-0 0-1 2 0 3 2 0 8 8 -
A. Nunez * 32 3-8 1-2 5-7 9 1 2 1 1 12 16 -8.9
J. Cousins * 32 5-7 0-0 3-10 6 0 1 2 3 13 12 +2.7
B. Zeigler * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 -
N. Morillo 27 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 4 3 -2 -6.3
J. Bodway 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Bryant 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. David 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter