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2016-02-04

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Tulane Green Wave Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 โœ— (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—

Actual: Tulane Green Wave -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Davis * 35 4-12 0-2 5-9 8 2 2 0 0 13 13 -
Daiquan Walker * 33 11-16 6-8 5-7 3 2 1 0 3 33 20 -
Matt Williams * 27 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 5 1 -
Tanksley Efianayi * 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
Justin McBride * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Shaheed Davis 26 3-7 2-4 0-0 9 0 0 0 2 8 8 -
Staphon Blair 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Tacko Fall 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Chance McSpadden 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -

Tulane Green Wave

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Dabney * 34 8-17 0-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 18 4 -
V. Julien * 32 3-4 2-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 8 8 -
D. Osetkowski * 31 3-11 0-1 2-2 6 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
M. Morgan * 28 2-7 1-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
R. Smith * 20 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 5 9 -
B. Paul 16 3-3 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 1 1 6 12 -
K. Harris 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
O. Yurtseven 13 2-9 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 6 0 -
M. Frazier Jr. 13 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 3 -

* = starter