Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McDowell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dedric Lawson * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Ricky Tarrant * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Markel Crawford * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam Craft * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Avery Woodson | 28 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Nick Marshall | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jeremiah Martin | 14 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Trahson Burrell | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jarrey Foster | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Wilfong | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter