Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McDowell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Lawson * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| R. Tarrant Jr. * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | +12.8 |
| S. Goodwin * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +12.8 |
| M. Crawford * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| S. Craft * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| A. Woodson | 28 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +11.7 |
| N. Marshall | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Martin | 14 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +11.6 |
| T. Burrell | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +1.1 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| S. Brown * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -9.4 |
| B. Moore * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -10.0 |
| S. Milton * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Tolbert * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | -8.8 |
| M. Kennedy | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +1.0 |
| J. Foster | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Wilfong | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter