Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +15 (75-60). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Davis * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Adonys Henriquez * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Matt Williams Jr. * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Shaheed Davis | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Justin McBride | 18 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chance McSpadden | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Woodard * | 36 | 3-14 | 2-12 | 10-11 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Shaquille Harrison * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Pat Birt * | 31 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Rashad Smith * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D'Andre Wright * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rashad Ray | 28 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Swannegan | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Marquel Curtis | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sterling Taplin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter