Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Adonys Henriquez * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Chance McSpadden | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Justin McBride | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Shaheed Davis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmal McMurray * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Chris Perry * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Nehemias Morillo * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ruben Guerrero * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Bo Zeigler * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Angel Nunez | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jake Bodway | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaleel Cousins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luis Santos | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter