Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.9% | 22.1% | -6.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Johnson | 19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Damyean Dotson * | 37 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | -3.1 |
| Danrad Knowles * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Kyle Meyer * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -0.4 |
| LeRon Barnes * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Galen Robinson | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -6.3 |
| Devonta Pollard | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Eric Weary | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bertrand Nkali | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.1 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 38 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 36 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | +5.2 |
| Shake Milton * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +5.7 |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Markus Kennedy | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 25 | +5.7 |
| Jarrey Foster | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter