Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +20 (89-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Tyson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Caleb White * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Michael Zangari * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Prince Williams * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Clarence Williams * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kentrell Barkley | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 24 | - |
| Lance Tejada | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Michel Nzege | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kanu Aja | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Charles Foster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adonys Henriquez * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Justin McBride | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Shaheed Davis | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chance McSpadden | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chad Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter