Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +2 (59-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Caupain * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Gary Clark * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Farad Cobb * | 31 | 6-13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Shaq Thomas * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Octavius Ellis * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Evans | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Quadri Moore | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Kevin Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Coreontae DeBerry | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +5.5 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shake Milton * | 40 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 39 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 33 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -3.6 |
| Sterling Brown * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Jarrey Foster | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter