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2016-01-06

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahmal McMurray * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 10 13 -
Bo Zeigler * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 2 3 4 9 -
Angel Nunez * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 6 12 -
Chris Perry * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 10 18 -
Ruben Guerrero * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
Jaleel Cousins 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 1 0 19 33 -
Nehemias Morillo 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 9 10 -
Luis Santos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Jake Bodway 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daiquan Walker * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 6 0 0 2 6 10 -
A.J. Davis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 1 2 16 26 -
Adonys Henriquez * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 20 30 -
Matt Williams * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 13 19 -
Tacko Fall * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 2 2 10 -
Justin McBride 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 10 13 -
Tanksley Efianayi 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Shaheed Davis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
Chance McSpadden 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Staphon Blair 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter