Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Davis * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Adonys Henriquez * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Justin McBride | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Chance McSpadden | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shaheed Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Tyson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Caleb White * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Prince Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Kanu Aja * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Clarence Williams * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kentrell Barkley | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Michel Nzege | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Zangari | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lance Tejada | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Charles Foster | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter