Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McMurray * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | -0.4 |
| C. Perry * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | -2.4 |
| B. Zeigler * | 30 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -2.4 |
| A. Nunez * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | -2.3 |
| J. Cousins * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -2.0 |
| R. Guerrero | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Morillo | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.5 |
| J. Bodway | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Santos | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 5-8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +5.2 |
| S. Milton * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Moore * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| S. Brown * | 32 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +1.6 |
| J. Tolbert * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | +3.5 |
| M. Kennedy | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +5.2 |
| J. Foster | 17 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter