Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Golden Hurricane -12 (69-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 34 | 8-10 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Ben Moore * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +7.5 |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Markus Kennedy | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Keith Frazier | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Jarrey Foster | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Woodard * | 36 | 8-14 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | -1.3 |
| S. Harrison * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +8.2 |
| R. Smith * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +7.9 |
| D. Wright * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Curtis * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +6.5 |
| R. Ray | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1.2 |
| B. Swannegan | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +7.9 |
| P. Birt | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter