Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | -3.3 | ✗ (29.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +26 (80-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hamilton * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Sterling Gibbs * | 30 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | -18.5 |
| Shonn Miller * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -12.2 |
| Amida Brimah * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Adams * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -18.8 |
| Rodney Purvis | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -18.5 |
| Omar Calhoun | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Steven Enoch | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +20.3 |
| S. Cassell Jr. | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kentan Facey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Phillip Nolan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +17.1 |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +8.7 |
| Sterling Brown * | 29 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +13.9 |
| Shake Milton * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Markus Kennedy * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +14.1 |
| Jarrey Foster | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ben Moore | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jonathan Wilfong | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| David Nelson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter