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2016-02-18

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nic Moore * 38 6-14 1-3 1-2 4 6 0 0 3 14 7 -
Shake Milton * 38 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 11 5 -
Ben Moore * 32 5-9 0-0 3-4 12 2 1 1 1 13 19 -
Jordan Tolbert * 25 4-10 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 9 3 -
Sterling Brown * 24 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 11 6 -
Markus Kennedy 23 1-7 0-0 0-2 6 2 0 2 1 2 4 -
Jarrey Foster 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 3 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amida Brimah * 33 6-8 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 5 1 16 20 -
Shonn Miller * 31 5-8 0-1 2-2 7 1 2 0 2 12 12 -
Sterling Gibbs * 30 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Omar Calhoun * 25 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 4 -
Daniel Hamilton * 22 4-11 2-6 4-5 6 4 1 0 2 14 12 -
Jalen Adams 22 3-9 0-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
Rodney Purvis 21 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -
Kentan Facey 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
Phillip Nolan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cassell Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter