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2016-02-18

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Moore * 38 6-14 1-3 1-2 4 6 0 0 3 14 7 -
S. Milton * 38 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 11 5 -
B. Moore * 32 5-9 0-0 3-4 12 2 1 1 1 13 19 -3.9
J. Tolbert * 25 4-10 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 9 3 -4.9
S. Brown * 24 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 11 6 -1.7
M. Kennedy 23 1-7 0-0 0-2 6 2 0 2 1 2 4 +3.8
J. Foster 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 3 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brimah * 33 6-8 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 5 1 16 20 +4.8
S. Miller * 31 5-8 0-1 2-2 7 1 2 0 2 12 12 +5.0
S. Gibbs * 30 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
O. Calhoun * 25 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 4 +6.5
D. Hamilton * 22 4-11 2-6 4-5 6 4 1 0 2 14 12 -
J. Adams 22 3-9 0-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 9 1 +5.1
R. Purvis 21 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -1.7
K. Facey 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
P. Nolan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cassell Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter