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2016-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Wallingford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Craig Randall 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ricky Tarrant * 40 4-12 2-6 5-6 6 2 0 0 1 15 10 -0.2
Dedric Lawson * 30 4-14 2-6 0-0 4 4 0 1 4 10 1 -
Markel Crawford * 27 0-5 0-0 5-6 4 1 2 0 2 5 5 -0.8
Shaq Goodwin * 22 6-9 0-0 11-12 5 0 0 1 2 23 18 +0.7
Jeremiah Martin * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 4 -1.2
Trahson Burrell 33 5-13 2-4 5-6 4 3 1 0 1 17 11 +4.4
Avery Woodson 23 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 6 8 +1.3
Sam Craft 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Nick Marshall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jake McDowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sterling Gibbs * 38 7-11 5-7 7-8 1 1 2 0 1 26 18 +1.0
Rodney Purvis * 35 5-10 2-5 1-2 4 3 1 0 3 13 8 +2.5
Shonn Miller * 30 2-7 0-0 7-9 3 0 0 2 2 11 7 +2.3
Daniel Hamilton * 29 2-11 2-5 6-8 8 4 2 0 3 12 12 -
Kentan Facey * 21 3-3 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 5 0 7 14 +2.6
Jalen Adams 16 2-6 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 5 1 -
Phillip Nolan 15 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Omar Calhoun 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 +0.5
Steven Enoch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter