Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -12 (74-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hollimon * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Jordon Varnado * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 29 | - |
| John Walton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Daniel Peace * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B.J. Miller | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Ariri | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kelton Ford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jaro Moravek | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Hopkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| A. Holston * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 28 | - |
| J. Combs * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| J. Reese * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Fuller * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Brown | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Ward | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Brice Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Katenda | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. White-Pittman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter