Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -19 (57-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMondre Harvey * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Majok Deng * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Nick Coppola * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Justin Roberson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Travis Munnings | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Mack Foster | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Roderick Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Prince Cooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Naylor * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Emani Gant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Ojai Black * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Montalvo * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Roberson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Conley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Malveau | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Maljhum McCrea | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D'Angelo West | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kendell Ramlal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Julien | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Austin Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Josephs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter