Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Naylor * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Ethan Montalvo * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Emani Gant * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Ojai Black * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Bobby Conley | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kendell Ramlal | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K.J. Malveau | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D'Angelo West | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maljhum McCrea | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Josephs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Majok Deng * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Nick Coppola * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 34 | - |
| Justin Roberson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| DeMondre Harvey * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Mack Foster | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Travis Munnings | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
* = starter