Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gardner * | 38 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -0.0 |
| D. Carter * | 32 | 3-15 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | -0.0 |
| D. Thomas * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| A. Livingston * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -15.6 |
| C. Waters * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14.9 |
| F. Dure | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0.0 |
| N. Bocoum | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | -0.0 |
| C. Kern | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -14.9 |
| K. Downs | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -14.9 |
| C. Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anderson * | 35 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +15.2 |
| R. Lee * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -2 | +14.8 |
| M. Taylor * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| C. Rowe * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Durham * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Mobley | 34 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -2 | +15.2 |
| T. Howard | 28 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 23 | -0.1 |
| K. Edwards | 16 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Martinez | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter