Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Savannah State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Savannah State Tigers +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Livingston * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Donte Thomas * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Frederic Dure * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Christian Davis * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sean Gardner | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Charles Waters | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Savannah State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenjo Kilo * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Chris Martin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Casey Wells * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Troyce Manassa * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Brian Pearson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Teslim Idris | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dexter McClanahan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Javaris Jenkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Khalen Pinkett | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Novian Cherry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kamil Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Felder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter