Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (34.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +42 (97-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walkup * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Holyfield * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Clide Geffrard * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ty Charles * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Trey Pinkney * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Dallas Cameron | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Demetrious Floyd | 18 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jared Johnson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jovan Grujic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lasani Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Bain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishmail Wainright * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Lester Medford * | 29 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Allerik Freeman * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Rico Gathers * | 23 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Johnathan Motley | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| King McClure | 16 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Maston | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jake Lindsey | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Austin Mills | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Heard | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter