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2016-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 โœ— (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns -14 (64-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ishmail Wainright * 31 1-2 1-2 1-3 5 5 3 2 0 4 17 -
Taurean Prince * 30 5-10 0-0 7-10 3 1 4 0 3 17 12 +1.6
Allerik Freeman * 29 3-6 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 8 7 +9.9
Johnathan Motley * 28 12-13 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 2 2 24 16 +9.9
Lester Medford * 26 6-10 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 13 5 +1.5
Jake Lindsey 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 -8.7
King McClure 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Rico Gathers 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -8.4
T.J. Maston 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javan Felix * 34 1-7 0-3 4-4 1 3 1 0 2 6 2 +3.1
Connor Lammert * 27 4-6 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 9 6 +10.7
Isaiah Taylor * 21 4-7 0-2 2-5 1 3 2 0 4 10 5 -
Kendal Yancy * 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 +10.2
Prince Ibeh * 13 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 3 4 4 +2.8
E. Davis Jr. 28 3-10 1-5 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 11 5 +9.7
Shaquille Cleare 27 6-9 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 14 10 -7.8
K. Roach 16 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 1 2 5 4 -
Tevin Mack 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -7.9
Demarcus Holland 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +9.2

* = starter