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2016-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% -
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -18 (66-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Smith * 39 6-8 0-0 4-5 9 2 2 2 2 16 21 +6.6
K. Evans * 36 5-8 3-5 8-9 1 5 4 1 2 21 22 +4.1
J. Gray * 31 7-9 2-4 1-2 3 2 0 2 2 17 13 +3.9
T. Gotcher * 26 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 7 6 +2.2
M. Temple * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 +1.8
A. Ross 27 3-8 2-3 6-8 6 1 0 1 3 14 11 -
D. Williams 22 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 9 5 +3.6
D. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.9

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mills 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Prince * 35 7-11 3-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 17 10 -0.1
L. Medford * 33 4-13 3-7 2-2 1 6 2 0 1 13 8 -1.9
A. Freeman * 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 3 4 0 2 6 12 -0.2
R. Gathers * 28 2-7 0-0 3-7 9 0 1 0 3 7 7 -2.1
I. Wainright * 21 3-6 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
J. Lindsey 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 2 5 -0.5
K. McClure 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 4 0 0 2 3 -
J. Motley 13 5-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
T. Maston 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

* = starter