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2016-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Rohleder 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Wesley Iwundu * 45 3-10 0-0 4-6 10 7 3 1 7 10 14 -
Dean Wade * 38 4-12 0-0 1-3 9 2 1 3 1 9 11 -
Justin Edwards * 38 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 5 4 -10.6
Stephen Hurt * 22 1-4 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 +4.6
Carlbe Ervin * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Kamau Stokes 37 7-14 3-6 3-4 2 3 0 0 3 20 8 +3.4
D.J. Johnson 27 5-10 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 0 3 11 7 -
Barry Brown 24 3-6 1-1 0-0 2 4 3 0 4 7 6 -
Austin Budke 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 +5.5
Zach Winter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 46 7-18 2-7 3-4 13 1 1 2 6 19 12 +0.7
Lester Medford * 45 3-7 1-2 2-2 1 13 3 0 3 9 16 +6.6
Allerik Freeman * 38 4-11 1-3 2-5 2 2 1 0 1 11 4 +4.6
Rico Gathers * 37 2-3 0-0 7-15 8 0 3 3 0 11 22 +0.6
Ishmail Wainright * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
Johnathan Motley 37 7-7 0-0 1-2 9 1 2 4 1 15 23 -0.4
T.J. Maston 17 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 1 2 2 3 5 4 -2.0
King McClure 12 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
Jake Lindsey 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -4.3

* = starter