🐻⬇️🏀

Baylor Bears 63
@
Texas Tech Red Raiders 60
2016-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% - ✓
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 ✗ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% - ✓
Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.8% 37.2% - ✓

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Medford * 29 3-7 1-3 2-4 4 5 2 0 4 9 9 +2.2
R. Gathers * 28 3-7 0-0 1-4 13 0 0 1 2 7 12 +2.8
T. Prince * 25 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 7 5 -
A. Freeman * 25 4-10 2-5 4-4 1 0 1 0 4 14 2 +2.8
I. Wainright * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Maston 26 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 12 9 +1.7
J. Motley 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 +2.3
J. Lindsey 16 2-4 0-0 1-3 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 +1.6
K. McClure 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -0.9

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 34 5-10 2-7 4-4 2 1 2 0 2 16 9 -0.6
T. Gotcher * 31 3-7 0-3 3-3 7 2 1 0 1 9 11 -0.8
Z. Smith * 24 3-8 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 0 3 8 6 +2.9
K. Evans * 24 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 4 6 -0.6
N. Odiase * 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 4 0 -2 -
A. Ross 23 5-9 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
D. Thomas 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 +2.3
M. Temple 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 2 +2.3
J. Jackson 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +1.9
J. Gray 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -0.8

* = starter