๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2016-01-13

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.4 โœ“ (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +28 (82-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Williams * 36 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 8 1 0 1 6 11 -
Chauncey Collins * 32 3-9 2-6 3-3 2 4 1 0 2 11 7 -11.2
Brandon Parrish * 27 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 7 5 -11.2
Chris Washburn * 24 2-7 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 4 0 -0.3
Karviar Shepherd * 21 5-8 1-1 2-3 3 2 2 0 2 13 10 -0.8
JD Miller 23 1-7 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -11.6
Vladimir Brodziansky 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 3 -11.1
Devonta Abron 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 1 -12.0
Lyrik Shreiner 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 28 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 3 3 1 0 9 13 +2.4
Lester Medford * 28 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 11 1 0 2 3 10 +13.2
Allerik Freeman * 28 2-4 1-3 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 9 10 +2.3
Rico Gathers * 22 4-4 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 2 11 13 +2.3
Ishmail Wainright * 19 2-3 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
T.J. Maston 21 8-11 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 1 1 17 16 +12.7
Johnathan Motley 21 5-6 0-0 0-1 5 3 1 2 2 10 13 +13.2
King McClure 16 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 8 8 +14.9
Jake Lindsey 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 4 6 +2.0
Austin Mills 4 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
John Heard 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter