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2016-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 97.4% 2.6% -
Bradley-Terry 98.3% 1.7% -
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% -
Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +28 (102-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Medford * 34 5-12 1-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 2 15 9 -2.8
A. Freeman * 32 2-10 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 6 -1 +5.6
R. Gathers * 29 5-8 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 1 1 12 13 +5.2
I. Wainright * 22 3-7 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 1 3 7 6 -
T. Prince * 22 2-6 1-3 12-12 3 1 2 2 1 17 18 +5.5
J. Motley 21 2-8 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 2 0 8 9 +5.7
J. Lindsey 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
K. McClure 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Maston 8 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
J. Heard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Mills 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Selden * 34 9-16 5-6 1-2 5 4 1 0 0 24 18 -
D. Graham * 32 6-8 2-4 1-1 2 4 3 0 0 15 16 -
F. Mason III * 28 5-9 0-2 1-1 5 4 1 0 2 11 10 -3.3
P. Ellis * 24 6-12 1-2 4-4 6 3 0 0 1 17 13 -
H. Mickelson * 17 2-3 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 3 1 7 14 -
B. Greene 18 2-6 1-2 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
L. Lucas 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 +8.0
C. Bragg Jr. 10 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 +6.8
J. Traylor 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -
C. Diallo 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
S. Mykhailiuk 4 0-1 0-0 5-6 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
L. Vick 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Self 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Manning 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter