Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 (60-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Tanner | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| B. Montgomery | 36 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -5 | - |
| J. Jones | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Frerking | 28 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. McKay | 26 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | - |
| K. Dieng | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Capers | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Sanders | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Garvin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dillingham | 40 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| V. Vivians | 38 | 9-22 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| M. William | 34 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Chapel | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Okorie | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. McCowan | 19 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Richardson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Schaefer | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter