Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | +8.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +33 (87-54). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Browning * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mike Brown * | 30 | 6-20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Torrion Brummitt * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Rhett Harrelson * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Marc Gosselin * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Elijah Pughsley | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jesse Deloach | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ashley Williams | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Devin Peterson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Haboubacar Mutombo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Aldridge * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Brian Sullivan * | 33 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jack Gibbs * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jordan Barham * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Oskar Michelsen * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Watkins | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Ekwu | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Andrew McAuliffe | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Rusty Reigel | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kamau Faines | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Manu Giamoukis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter