Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (58-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Devin Robinson * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chris Chiozza * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brandone Francis * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | - |
| John Egbunu * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kasey Hill | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kevarrius Hayes | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeVon Walker | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Schuyler Rimmer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| KeVaughn Allen | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Leon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Wollenman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 32 | 5-17 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Javon Bess * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eron Harris | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Clark II | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Deyonta Davis | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter