Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | -2.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wagner | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. LeVert * | 37 | 1-13 | 0-6 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Z. Irvin * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -6.4 |
| A. Dawkins * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -6.7 |
| R. Doyle * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7.2 |
| D. Robinson | 22 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Donnal | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Chatman | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -14.5 |
| M. Wagner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Wilson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -8.0 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Moore * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | +17.8 |
| K. Frazier * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 8 | +16.5 |
| S. Brown * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | +8.5 |
| M. Kennedy * | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Tolbert | 30 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 15 | +18.0 |
| S. Milton | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Foster | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
* = starter