Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wintering * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | +2.9 |
| B. Pressley * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +0.8 |
| G. Taylor * | 15 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -2.1 |
| R. Barreno * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
| M. Livingston * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Todd | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -4.2 |
| D. Tyson | 17 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Marshall | 13 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.2 |
| C. Russell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| P. Hartwich | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| X. Hallinan | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lemar * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +2.1 |
| D. Graham * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | -2.6 |
| N. Monson * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | +1.3 |
| L. White * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Fox * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| N. Berry | 24 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -2.3 |
| S. Schneider | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | +4.2 |
| R. Printup | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Goode | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter