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2016-03-05

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +17 (94-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Blakeney * 40 7-14 1-6 4-4 4 0 0 1 0 19 10 -8.5
Ben Simmons * 40 5-12 0-0 7-11 11 4 7 0 6 17 21 -
Tim Quarterman * 34 9-16 2-6 3-3 4 3 0 1 5 23 10 +7.6
Craig Victor * 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 4 -5.3
Jalyn Patterson * 20 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 6 3 -3.4
Josh Gray 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -5.6
Brandon Sampson 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darcy Malone 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9
Brian Bridgewater 6 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Aaron Epps 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.7

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Ulis * 38 5-16 1-5 3-4 5 14 0 0 1 14 16 -
Isaiah Briscoe * 33 4-14 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 8 3 -
Jamal Murray * 32 6-12 4-8 6-7 7 4 0 0 2 22 19 -
Skal Labissiere * 25 8-10 0-0 2-3 9 2 0 6 2 18 23 -
Alex Poythress * 19 6-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 12 9 -
Marcus Lee 21 6-7 0-0 0-3 10 0 0 0 2 12 13 +4.8
Derek Willis 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Dominique Hawkins 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
Mychal Mulder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charles Matthews 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaac Humphries 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter