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2016-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.3% 28.7% -
Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.1% 18.9% -

Actual: Florida Gators -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Murray * 39 5-10 4-6 7-10 8 4 0 1 3 21 21 -
T. Ulis * 37 5-10 2-3 7-8 4 11 1 0 4 19 21 -
I. Briscoe * 32 4-7 0-0 5-6 3 3 0 0 0 13 12 -
A. Poythress * 30 5-12 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 1 12 11 -
S. Labissiere * 15 5-10 0-0 1-4 8 0 1 1 1 11 10 -
M. Lee 26 2-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 3 1 5 13 +0.8
D. Hawkins 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 3 4 +0.8
I. Humphries 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -0.8
C. Matthews 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Finney-Smith * 37 5-12 1-5 4-6 5 5 1 0 1 15 13 -
J. Egbunu * 34 12-15 0-0 3-11 4 0 0 1 0 27 17 +2.4
D. Robinson * 32 3-7 2-2 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 11 9 -
K. Allen * 29 5-16 2-6 3-4 5 2 0 0 1 15 5 +0.3
C. Chiozza * 25 1-9 0-4 0-2 5 4 1 0 2 2 1 -
K. Hill 23 3-8 0-0 2-6 2 4 2 0 0 8 8 +0.5
J. Leon 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Hayes 6 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
D. Walker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -1.7
L. Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter