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2016-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.7% 23.3% - โœ—
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.4 โœ— (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% - โœ—

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Ulis * 39 5-20 0-7 2-4 3 6 1 0 1 12 1 -
Jamal Murray * 37 12-20 6-10 3-4 9 1 0 0 2 33 21 -
Isaiah Briscoe * 34 4-8 0-3 0-4 4 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
Marcus Lee * 30 2-2 0-0 5-9 6 1 0 3 0 9 17 -7.2
Alex Poythress * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
Isaac Humphries 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Charles Matthews 11 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 2 0 0 7 -
Skal Labissiere 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Dominique Hawkins 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Mychal Mulder 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jonny David 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E.J. Floreal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Camron Justice 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matthew Fisher-Davis * 37 7-12 4-9 2-4 4 0 0 1 1 20 12 -
Jeff Roberson * 37 6-13 1-2 3-4 8 1 0 0 0 16 12 +10.9
Luke Kornet * 37 3-8 1-3 1-2 11 1 0 0 0 8 12 -
W. Baldwin IV * 36 4-15 0-2 6-8 1 6 0 1 1 14 6 -
Damian Jones * 33 6-13 0-0 3-3 8 1 1 1 1 15 12 -2.0
Riley LaChance 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 3 +11.2
Joe Toye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Carter Josephs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Samir Sehic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Phillip McGloin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nathan Watkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter