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2016-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 โœ“ (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +25 (78-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Retin Obasohan * 31 9-13 1-1 10-12 5 1 0 1 4 29 19 +2.9
Shannon Hale * 27 0-4 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -9.0
Riley Norris * 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 3 0 -4.2
Jimmie Taylor * 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -3.9
Arthur Edwards * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -4.7
Justin Coleman 32 3-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 -
Michael Kessens 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 -4.5
Donta Hall 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 2 8 -5.1
Brandon Austin 11 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Christian Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lawson Schaffer 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 37 7-14 2-5 7-8 4 0 1 2 1 23 15 -
Tyler Ulis * 36 5-13 0-3 9-11 5 10 3 0 1 19 23 -
Isaiah Briscoe * 33 4-11 0-1 2-3 4 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
Marcus Lee * 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 1 1 6 15 +5.7
Isaac Humphries * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
Alex Poythress 17 5-6 0-0 4-6 1 0 0 0 1 14 8 -
Skal Labissiere 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Dominique Hawkins 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charles Matthews 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
Mychal Mulder 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E.J. Floreal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter