🐻⬇️🏀

@
2016-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 10.4% 89.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +25 (78-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Obasohan * 31 9-13 1-1 10-12 5 1 0 1 4 29 19 +2.9
S. Hale * 27 0-4 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -9.0
R. Norris * 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 3 0 -4.2
J. Taylor * 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -3.9
A. Edwards * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -4.7
J. Coleman 32 3-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 -
M. Kessens 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 -4.5
D. Hall 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 2 8 -5.1
B. Austin 11 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Schaffer 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Murray * 37 7-14 2-5 7-8 4 0 1 2 1 23 15 -
T. Ulis * 36 5-13 0-3 9-11 5 10 3 0 1 19 23 -
I. Briscoe * 33 4-11 0-1 2-3 4 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
M. Lee * 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 1 1 6 15 +5.7
I. Humphries * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
A. Poythress 17 5-6 0-0 4-6 1 0 0 0 1 14 8 -
S. Labissiere 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
D. Hawkins 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Matthews 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
M. Mulder 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E.J. Floreal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter