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2016-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 78.5% 21.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Margin 77.5% 22.5% -6.8 โœ“ (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.0% 10.0% - โœ“

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -27 (62-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Ulis * 38 7-14 4-8 9-11 0 12 2 0 1 27 26 -
Jamal Murray * 38 9-21 4-11 4-6 5 1 1 0 2 26 10 -
Marcus Lee * 36 5-9 0-0 1-1 13 0 0 2 2 11 15 +8.2
Isaiah Briscoe * 31 4-8 0-1 2-3 5 3 1 0 5 10 6 -
Derek Willis * 18 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 9 9 -
Skal Labissiere 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 2 -
Charles Matthews 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 4 -1.5
Isaac Humphries 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.8
Dominique Hawkins 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 +9.0

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sindarius Thornwell * 31 3-10 0-3 1-2 2 3 1 1 6 7 -2 -
Michael Carrera * 29 6-13 2-6 11-15 10 1 0 3 1 25 25 -
Mindaugas Kacinas * 25 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
PJ Dozier * 21 1-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 4 2 -4 -
Chris Silva * 20 2-7 0-0 6-8 8 1 0 2 1 10 13 -
Duane Notice 27 3-5 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 10 5 -4.8
Raymond Doby 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 +2.3
Laimonas Chatkevicius 13 1-4 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -4.3
Marcus Stroman 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Justin McKie 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.1
Jamall Gregory 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter