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2016-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% -
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 22.7% 77.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Finney-Smith * 35 8-11 2-5 6-7 8 1 0 0 1 24 21 -
C. Chiozza * 29 1-8 1-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 3 0 +3.6
K. Allen * 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 3 2 +3.3
J. Egbunu * 26 3-7 0-0 6-8 5 0 1 1 1 12 11 +3.6
K. Hill * 13 2-7 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 -4 +0.3
B. Francis 20 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
D. Robinson 18 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
J. Leon 13 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
K. Hayes 11 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Walker 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Rimmer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Floreal 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hawkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Mulder 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Ulis * 38 7-12 2-3 2-3 4 11 2 0 2 18 21 -
J. Murray * 36 13-21 8-10 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 35 19 -
I. Briscoe * 34 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 6 0 0 1 3 4 -
M. Lee * 26 2-2 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 2 0 4 11 -
D. Willis * 25 3-7 2-6 4-5 6 0 0 0 1 12 10 -
I. Humphries 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 4 9 -1.3
S. Labissiere 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 2 0 -
C. Matthews 11 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter