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2016-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ulis * 38 3-10 2-4 12-14 0 5 2 0 1 20 16 -
J. Murray * 36 7-20 3-12 4-4 5 5 0 0 2 21 9 -
D. Willis * 35 3-8 2-6 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
I. Briscoe * 30 5-10 0-0 0-1 8 3 0 0 1 10 10 -
A. Poythress * 17 6-9 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 4 14 7 -
M. Lee 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -8.5
S. Labissiere 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 1 2 5 -
D. Hawkins 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -6.2
C. Matthews 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Moore * 38 5-11 1-2 7-8 13 4 2 0 3 18 23 +10.3
K. Punter * 37 7-19 3-8 10-11 3 3 1 0 2 27 13 +7.4
A. Schofield * 28 2-6 1-4 6-6 8 2 0 0 1 11 14 -
D. Baulkman * 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Alexander * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Mostella 29 4-7 2-3 3-3 2 3 0 2 0 13 13 -
R. Hubbs III 25 2-6 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 1 8 5 +17.1
S. Phillips 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 6 +7.2
D. Reese 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter