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2016-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.6 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +34 (88-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Phillips * 31 3-6 0-0 2-2 6 3 2 0 4 8 9 +2.7
W. Clark * 25 3-16 2-5 3-4 0 0 1 0 2 11 -6 +6.3
N. Wright * 22 0-6 0-2 3-3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -6 +5.9
K. Puryear * 19 4-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
R. Rosburg * 11 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K.J. Walton 21 3-5 1-2 3-4 6 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
C. VanLeer 20 3-6 1-3 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
R. Woods 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +6.1
J. Gant 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 3 +8.1
D. Allen 14 0-5 0-1 1-2 5 3 0 1 1 1 4 -
J. Barton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Briscoe * 33 5-9 0-0 5-6 6 6 2 0 0 15 20 -
J. Murray * 33 4-14 3-8 0-1 9 2 2 0 0 11 10 -
T. Ulis * 29 9-14 2-6 0-0 2 8 0 0 3 20 13 -
D. Willis * 25 6-9 4-5 2-2 12 1 0 2 2 18 22 -
A. Poythress * 21 2-5 0-0 4-4 7 1 1 0 2 8 10 -
S. Labissiere 18 6-8 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 5 2 12 8 -
C. Matthews 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 +3.3
M. Lee 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 2 5 -6.6
I. Humphries 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Mulder 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E.J. Floreal 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. David 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter