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2016-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 โœ“ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +19 (76-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Baldwin IV * 32 1-9 0-1 5-6 1 2 1 1 5 7 -2 -
Jeff Roberson * 32 3-6 2-3 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 12 5 -4.9
Damian Jones * 31 5-7 0-0 3-6 9 1 1 2 1 13 18 -5.3
Luke Kornet * 22 2-8 1-3 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 7 6 -
Riley LaChance * 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -4.5
Matthew Fisher-Davis 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Nolan Cressler 12 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Joe Toye 12 1-1 0-0 3-4 0 1 0 0 0 5 5 +0.1
Camron Justice 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Josh Henderson 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Carter Josephs 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Samir Sehic 2 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Briscoe * 36 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 6 4 -
Jamal Murray * 36 7-13 3-6 1-1 7 2 3 1 0 18 18 -
Tyler Ulis * 34 9-13 2-4 1-1 3 5 1 0 2 21 15 -
Derek Willis * 30 2-8 1-6 2-2 9 0 1 1 0 7 10 -
Alex Poythress * 27 8-10 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 16 8 -
Marcus Lee 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 6 8 +1.4
Charles Matthews 15 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 +6.9
Skal Labissiere 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E.J. Floreal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter