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2016-01-13

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina Gamecocks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Margin 9.5% 90.5% +12.4 โœ“ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 74.5% 25.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +23 (73-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Carrera * 32 5-10 2-5 2-2 10 1 1 1 4 14 13 -
Sindarius Thornwell * 31 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 2 -3 -
Mindaugas Kacinas * 31 2-8 0-2 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 6 3 -1.2
Laimonas Chatkevicius * 18 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 6 -2 -1.1
PJ Dozier * 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -8 -
Duane Notice 22 2-8 0-4 3-3 1 3 0 0 0 7 3 +0.8
Marcus Stroman 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Justin McKie 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
Jamall Gregory 9 3-3 1-1 1-3 0 1 0 0 0 8 6 +0.3
Chris Silva 8 0-0 0-0 1-5 2 0 0 1 1 1 3 -
Raymond Doby 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Eric Cobb 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
John Ragin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Riley Norris * 31 9-16 8-11 1-2 7 1 1 0 1 27 19 +2.8
Retin Obasohan * 31 1-5 0-2 2-4 6 2 3 1 3 4 8 +3.3
Arthur Edwards * 24 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 3 4 +2.9
Michael Kessens * 23 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 3 +0.1
Jimmie Taylor * 20 2-3 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 1 0 5 7 +2.7
Justin Coleman 24 4-8 1-5 5-5 5 6 1 0 3 14 15 -
Shannon Hale 24 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 8 5 +2.4
Donta Hall 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 2 3 5 -
Brandon Austin 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lawson Schaffer 3 1-1 1-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Christian Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter