Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +6 (80-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I.J. Ready * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Malik Newman * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Travis Daniels * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Fred Thomas | 21 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Johnny Zuppardo | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Aric Holman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Ulis * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 36 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Alex Poythress * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Lee * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Skal Labissiere | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Derek Willis | 11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Charles Matthews | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter