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2016-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 83.6% 16.4% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.2% 8.8% -
Log Adjusted 91.2% 8.8% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -16 (61-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ulis * 39 2-7 0-1 4-6 5 8 1 1 1 8 15 -
I. Briscoe * 36 6-10 0-1 0-2 5 4 0 0 1 12 10 -
A. Poythress * 34 8-10 0-1 9-11 7 0 0 1 4 25 19 -
J. Murray * 31 7-13 1-4 6-6 5 0 1 0 1 21 13 -
M. Lee * 24 4-5 0-0 0-5 11 0 0 1 2 8 13 +6.7
D. Willis 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Mulder 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
S. Labissiere 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Matthews 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.9
E.J. Floreal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Obasohan * 36 6-14 3-4 6-8 2 1 1 0 2 21 9 -2.4
J. Coleman * 25 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 -1 -
A. Edwards * 25 3-9 2-6 3-5 3 0 0 0 2 11 3 -2.6
J. Taylor * 20 2-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 4 1 4 10 -3.2
M. Kessens * 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
R. Norris 27 3-5 0-1 4-4 3 2 1 1 0 10 12 -1.0
S. Hale 26 1-9 0-6 4-6 2 0 1 0 0 6 0 -1.1
D. Hall 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
B. Austin 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
L. Schaffer 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter